Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.008070 0.009445 0.011084 0.013213 0.015951 0.019419 0.024255
2025-10-05 0.006668 0.008444 0.010820 0.014351 0.019696 0.027914 0.042541
2025-10-12 0.005735 0.007634 0.010372 0.014841 0.022474 0.036218 0.066811
2025-10-19 0.004955 0.006823 0.009662 0.014618 0.023904 0.042937 0.094926
2025-10-26 0.004452 0.006309 0.009263 0.014741 0.025930 0.052024 0.141499
2025-11-02 0.003996 0.005788 0.008738 0.014476 0.027058 0.059887 0.200359
2025-11-09 0.003538 0.005200 0.008000 0.013625 0.026588 0.063327 0.251621
2025-11-16 0.003187 0.004744 0.007423 0.012967 0.026351 0.067458 0.322803
2025-11-23 0.003000 0.004542 0.007268 0.013141 0.028264 0.080480 0.526083
2025-11-30 0.002785 0.004269 0.006944 0.012881 0.028932 0.089781 0.786967
2025-12-07 0.002573 0.003980 0.006554 0.012395 0.028797 0.095838 1.104847
2025-12-14 0.002423 0.003787 0.006328 0.012249 0.029658 0.107959 1.878745
2025-12-21 0.002330 0.003704 0.006338 0.012749 0.033125 0.142060 6.965048
2025-12-28 0.002292 0.003719 0.006553 0.013844 0.039541 0.216713 577.313125
2026-01-04 0.002203 0.003628 0.006530 0.014310 0.044014 0.299469 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002074 0.003448 0.006287 0.014098 0.045500 0.361260 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001981 0.003329 0.006166 0.014215 0.048715 0.477538 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001874 0.003172 0.005939 0.013963 0.049974 0.578911 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001743 0.002957 0.005558 0.013153 0.047772 0.587563 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001634 0.002781 0.005250 0.012526 0.046362 0.617200 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001579 0.002712 0.005189 0.012692 0.049769 0.861348 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001506 0.002600 0.005014 0.012444 0.050524 1.041634 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001427 0.002471 0.004787 0.011980 0.049635 1.140514 NaN